NBA Picks Basketball Playoffs
Today’s Pick:
Chris Paul Over 16.5 Points (-108)
Coming off his 2 most unusual games of his career, I think the CP3 will respond very well and shut everybody up. In 10 playoff games so far, he has gone under this only 3 times, and all 3 were on the road. At home he has hit this in all seven games so far. Dating back to last playoffs, in his last 7 home games he hit this line in all of them, so he has scored at least 17 points in 14 of his last 14 home playoff games.
Jae Crowder Over 5.5 Rebounds (-134)
This series, Crowder has been the X factor for Phoenix, totalling 8, 7, 7 and 6 rebounds. He is averaging 10.8 rebound chances per game on the series, 10.5 on the road and 11.0 at home. During the regular season, he converted on 65% of his rebound chances, so if he stays with his 11.0 rebound chances so far this series at home, he would only need to convert 54% of his chances, 11% below what he usually converts at. I am confident he will continue to hit this line as he has in each of the last 4 games.
Jalen Brunson Under 3.5 Assists (-142)
Jalen hit this in the last 2 games, but in game 4 he had 4 assists on 6 potential assists, a 66% percent hit rate which is probably unsustainable considering he had a 47% percent hit rate in the regular season on an assists to potential assist ratio. He is averaging 6 potential assists on the road this series and went under in both games. In his last 10 games on the road when Luka is in the line up, he averages 2.5 assists per game, and only went over once (10%), and has yet to go over in the playoffs.
Jimmy Butler Over 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-135)
Adding this one and I’m absolutely nuking it. Lowry is out and Jimmy looks like the only guy on the heat that’s not a zombie. In his last 10 games without Lowry with at least 36 minutes logged, he’s hit this in every game (100%).
The Playoffs
The NBA playoffs is the main postseason tournament of the National Basketball Association held to determine the league’s champion. An annual best-of-seven elimination tournament, the NBA playoffs are held after the league’s regular season and its preliminary postseason tournament, the NBA Play-In Tournament.
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