Jan Blachowicz v Israel Adesanya Betting Tips & Predictions
Israel Adesanya by Decision @ 3.50
If Blachowicz can get his hands on Adesanya and get him to the mat things could get ugly for the challenger, but we do not expect that to happen. Remember, footwork and reach! Adesanya is going to fight at range, he is going to pepper the champion with crisp strikes and he will punish him with heavier blows whenever Blachowicz attempts to close the distance or perhaps tries to chase him down. We are not sold on Adesanya putting the champion away to win the title in a swift, emphatic fashion, but we do believe that ‘The Last Stylebender’ will eventually break down Blachowicz and finish him off in the championship rounds. Value Izzy pick: Israel Adesanya to Win by TKO/KO via Punches in Round 4 @ 22.00.
We see massive value on Izzy by decision at 3.50. It’s crazy that Izzy by TKO is @2.20. Jan is a tough ass dude who’s only been put away twice in his career, once by a leg kick in 2011 and once by a crazy power puncher in Thiago Santos. And this is at a weight class up and 20lbs from where Izzy has been starching the likes of Costa and Whittaker. We’ve seen in the past that Izzy isn’t afraid to fight the boring fight in order to get the win, he’s not gonna go for anything wild unless it’s safe just look at the Romero fight.
Not a lock but 3.50 for Izzy by decision seems like fantastic value.
Either fighter by submission.
Jan @ 9.00
Izzy @ 19.00
Izzy has been hinting towards going for it if Jan gets greedy. He also had a good BJJ training stint in SD with Carlos Ulberg at the end of last year. Jan has a black belt from Poland + the size difference is fairly negligible. We think if Izzy is going to get a sub in this division he has the best chance against Jan.
Amanda Nunes v Megan Anderson
Megan Anderson by KO @ 11.00
Do we actually believe Megan will beat Amanda? No. But IF she does win? It will be via stoppage. She does carry power and she’s a very long and rangy woman with good knees and elbows. The last time we saw Nunes in trouble was against Germaine de Randamie who fits a similar physical profile to Megan Anderson. She was able to wobble Nunes a couple of times in the second round with a right hand, a headkick, and a couple of knees. Anderson is nowhere near as comfortable and technically sound as Germaine on the feet, but she is much bigger and without question has the power to hurt Nunes IF (and it’s a big if) she manages to land. This is the biggest punt play you can imagine but fuck it, it will make the fight entertaining at least.
Peter Yan Vs Aljamain Sterling
Insane value @ 1.80 for Petr Yan. Such an advantage in the striking game, insane pressure, Aljo’s pillow hands won’t do anything to Yan. He’s also very solid on the ground and I think he stuffs a lot of Aljo’s take downs. Might also touch him to win by KO @ 3.75. We are very impressed with Yans scramble ability in those Magomed fights and just his overall grappling awareness. I think you’d have to kill Yan to get him out of there. I just don’t see Yan getting subbed.
Straight ML Picks:
Kai Kara France