PGA Tour Tips
Date: Sept 29–Oct 2, 2022
The Sanderson Farms Championship is a professional golf tournament on the PGA Tour, played annually in Mississippi. It moved to the Country Club of Jackson in Jackson in autumn 2014, early in the 2015 season.
The Country Club of Jackson is a par 72 that will play at 7,461 yards. Winning scores of 18, 19, and 21 (edit: -22 this past year) under the past few years point to a relatively easy course. Looking at the course layout it seems very cut and dry, and everything is right out in front of you. There isn’t going to be a lot of holes that demand certain shot shaping and so this course will suit both drawers and faders of the ball and won’t require them to leave their comfort zone very often. The overall distance seems long but most of that distance comes on 3 par 5s that will likely not be reachable in 2 by most of the field. We think the vast majority of approach shots will fall in the 100-150 yd range with 100-125 being the focus for me because of those par 5s and short par 4s. Almost every hole has tree-lined fairways and so even though the rough doesn’t play very long at all we do think players will have to hit fairways to be able to score here. Something else important to know about this course is that you’re really not going to see many “blow-up” holes simply because there’s not much danger. This allows you to play some more aggressive golfers without fear of that 7 or 8 they seem to card once a round. The perfect example of this is Patton Kizzire, he is very aggressive and scores lots of birdies but there is almost always one or two holes where he gets out position and just blows up with a double or triple bogey. Lastly, the only real defence this course has is the putting greens, players seem to agree that they can be quite tricky and that it’s easy to get out of place. That being said, hitting the right spots on these greens and being able to sink the putts is the recipe to win here. I’ll be looking at SG: Approach w/focus on 100-125 yd proximity, Ball Striking, SG: Putting, Birdie Average, and Driving Accuracy. For driving accuracy, we don’t need them to hit every fairway but also not to be playing anyone super wild off the tee because we believe you must hit your spots to score efficiently here. For reference, were thinking top 120 or better driving accuracy will be playable for me this week, so just a little better than top half on the tour.
Target Player Profile #1: We want great approach players who can get hot with the putter. Specifically, guys who can stick it close from 100-125 because it seems that is a key distance this week. We also want guys who are above average in driving accuracy on tour, let’s say top 40% in the rankings. Example – Abe Ancer
Target Player Profile #2: Just give us the best putters who can hit enough fairways and greens.
Yes agreed emphasis on putting, but it seems to us, the folks who really do well are the bombers, who can get good approach shots and then finish with the putter. Sam burns is a perfect example of this type of player.
Our Top 3 Picks:
Sam Burns @9/1
Samuel Holland Burns is an American professional golfer who plays on the PGA Tour. He played his college golf at Louisiana State University. In 2021, he won the Valspar Championship and the Sanderson Farms Championship.
Russell Henley @20/1
Russell Henley is an American professional golfer who plays on the PGA Tour.
Sepp Straka @25/1
Josef “Sepp” Straka is an Austrian professional golfer who plays on the PGA Tour.
All picks and odds correct at time of posting, we suggest backing Each Way and most betting companies paying 6+ places.
Best Golf Betting Picks and Tips, Image Credit: golfdigest.com